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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072670100200400500600700372186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
red by 13.8
6941
#49
126.70.0
126.7126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Second
5451
#12
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 0.6
5515
#18
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Third
9110
#44
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
9101
#52
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest odds41%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds