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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183319040060080097174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6392
#46
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
blue by 21.4
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Second
6433
#31
93.40.0
93.493.4
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
blue by 33.3
6941
#49
126.70.0
126.7126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop96.4
End7.7
Third
7238
#48
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
red by 3.0
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds