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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304300200250350400229427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
189.20.0
189.2189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
red by 25.5
5453
#33
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
Second
6970
#30
126.50.0
126.5126.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 1.7
5451
#12
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Third
9101
#52
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
7280
#17
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest odds32%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds