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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2184070600800258429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#22
147.40.0
147.4147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End23.5
blue by 41.8
359
#5
189.20.0
189.2189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
Second
7238
#48
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 72.3
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
Third
9106
#20
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 67.1
6353
#34
127.20.0
127.2127.2
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds12%Face the Boss odds