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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4701240200300400600700358137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 119.4
6433
#31
93.40.0
93.493.4
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
Second
66
#26
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
red by 125.7
9059
#45
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
168.00.0
168.0168.0
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
red by 107.9
9102
#40
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds29%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds