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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472040400600800163230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#33
163.70.0
163.7163.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.4
End15.7
red by 73.8
6940
#19
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Second
6991
#35
130.10.0
130.1130.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
red by 70.0
9084
#14
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
6986
#41
106.10.0
106.1106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
red by 46.0
9104
#25
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest odds18%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds