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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4402090100300400500600700800401278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
252.10.0
252.1252.1
Auto29.0
Teleop173.2
End48.1
red by 99.7
5823
#21
152.50.0
152.5152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Second
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 81.2
7280
#17
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
7002
#32
107.40.0
107.4107.4
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
red by 47.3
9108
#27
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
75%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds