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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23132304006008001,0001,200343130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.50.0
140.5140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
red by 10.4
6991
#35
130.10.0
130.1130.1
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Second
100.00.0
100.0100.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
blue by 19.9
6392
#46
119.90.0
119.9119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Third
7238
#48
92.90.0
92.992.9
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
red by 32.7
9108
#27
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest odds39%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds