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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872750100200400500600700394102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5522
#38
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto19.3
Teleop111.8
End13.3
red by 5.2
141.30.0
141.3141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Second
9106
#20
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 46.0
6986
#41
106.10.0
106.1106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Third
9110
#44
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
red by 7.9
6374
#39
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto4.3
Teleop39.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest odds40%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds