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Red76
617812.7
212230.3
473316.0
Blue61
67017.8
501525.9
148212.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56442060807661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.3
28.129.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.4
End6.8
red by 4.4
25.91.9
22.924.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End7.6
Second
4733
#26
16.01.9
13.715.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 3.1
1482
#24
12.91.3
11.512.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.4
End3.3
Third
6178
#21
12.71.9
11.013.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End5.4
red by 4.9
6701
#37
7.81.9
7.08.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsEarned