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Red35
720512.7
507810.8
779911.6
Blue75
35934.1
321612.5
477418.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367002060801003575

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7205
#16
12.70.1
11.912.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End3.0
blue by 21.4
359
#1
34.10.6
35.735.0
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End9.3
Second
7799
#20
11.60.1
11.111.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End5.3
blue by 6.5
18.10.6
18.217.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Third
5078
#22
10.80.1
11.111.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.1
blue by 1.7
3216
#15
12.50.9
12.811.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned