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Red40
473316.0
61799.5
507810.8
Blue88
462726.7
162221.8
682318.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38672030506080904088

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4733
#26
16.00.4
15.616.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 10.7
26.71.1
25.626.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End6.5
Second
5078
#22
10.80.4
11.211.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End4.1
blue by 10.9
21.81.1
20.621.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End7.2
Third
6179
#30
9.50.4
9.29.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 8.8
6823
#12
18.41.1
16.817.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned