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Red42
35934.1
784310.2
77069.7
Blue41
46259.4
511813.4
325017.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61431020305070804241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
34.11.0
35.034.0
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End9.3
red by 17.0
3250
#17
17.20.0
17.917.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End5.4
Second
7843
#32
10.21.4
11.610.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 3.2
5118
#29
13.40.0
13.313.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End4.3
Third
7706
#33
9.71.0
10.79.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
red by 0.3
4625
#35
9.40.0
9.39.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed