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Red51
453318.2
379215.9
131911.6
Blue63
504518.2
636620.9
36432.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4954203040607080905163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#28
18.20.6
19.919.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 14.0
364
#3
32.21.0
21.222.2
Auto5.8
Teleop19.4
End7.1
Second
3792
#46
15.90.4
15.014.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End2.1
blue by 4.9
20.90.6
15.115.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Third
1319
#26
11.60.6
11.410.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 6.6
5045
#35
18.21.0
15.015.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed