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Red29
561613.4
61458.0
500513.5
Blue39
313910.0
748414.0
255620.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340204060802939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5005
#37
13.50.8
13.612.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End2.7
blue by 7.0
2556
#11
20.50.8
12.212.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End2.8
Second
5616
#54
13.40.8
11.010.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 0.6
7484
#33
14.00.8
10.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End4.7
Third
6145
#41
8.00.8
8.77.9
Auto4.4
Teleop0.8
End2.7
blue by 2.1
3139
#47
10.00.8
9.510.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed