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Red42
707219.7
492417.1
401314.2
Blue22
379215.9
610713.1
38438.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4336102030405060704222

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7072
#34
19.70.3
16.215.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.6
red by 3.7
3792
#46
15.90.8
14.613.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Second
4924
#14
17.10.5
13.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 4.0
6107
#18
13.11.4
13.011.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
4013
#38
14.20.5
11.010.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.4
red by 5.6
3843
#50
8.61.4
6.85.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed