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Red36
453318.2
744613.4
426515.2
Blue45
131911.6
255620.5
711116.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070803645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#28
18.20.5
19.318.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 2.3
2556
#11
20.51.1
12.914.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End2.8
Second
4265
#31
15.20.5
12.912.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End2.6
blue by 1.6
7111
#17
16.81.1
11.812.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
7446
#20
13.40.5
8.68.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End2.2
red by 1.7
1319
#26
11.61.1
10.811.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed