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Red29
615716.3
313910.0
541012.2
Blue51
53819.8
297311.0
218317.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365220304060702951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6157
#36
16.30.6
15.214.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 3.5
538
#22
19.80.2
19.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End5.5
Second
5410
#13
12.20.4
10.910.5
Auto5.2
Teleop2.4
End4.6
blue by 5.2
2183
#23
17.40.2
15.715.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Third
3139
#47
10.00.6
8.47.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 0.9
2973
#42
11.00.2
14.114.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed