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Red27
395919.5
504518.2
69378.7
Blue47
610713.1
711116.8
34225.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4756203040506070802747

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#21
19.51.9
17.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 6.2
342
#4
25.70.4
26.426.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Second
5045
#35
18.21.8
16.915.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.6
red by 1.3
7111
#17
16.80.6
14.013.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
6937
#51
8.71.8
9.88.0
Auto4.7
Teleop0.7
End3.3
blue by 4.4
6107
#18
13.10.6
12.311.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsMissed