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Red38
6312.6
73138.3
281512.7
Blue33
585811.0
61458.0
453318.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324501020405060703833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#24
12.70.3
12.012.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End1.8
blue by 5.5
4533
#28
18.21.2
19.718.5
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Second
63
#15
12.60.5
11.311.8
Auto2.1
Teleop6.3
End4.2
red by 1.6
5858
#39
11.01.2
12.411.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Third
7313
#52
8.30.5
6.77.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
red by 0.3
6145
#41
8.01.3
10.39.0
Auto4.4
Teleop0.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed