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Red46
496520.8
53819.8
752510.1
Blue57
445128.7
142126.2
430611.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51672030406080901004657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#10
20.80.2
20.320.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.2
End3.7
blue by 7.9
28.70.8
27.126.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.9
End9.0
Second
538
#22
19.80.3
19.319.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End5.5
blue by 6.4
26.21.2
25.023.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End6.7
Third
7525
#43
10.10.3
9.18.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End4.0
blue by 1.4
4306
#32
11.41.2
11.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed90%HAB Docking oddsMissed