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Red58
58097.3
500619.5
61867.6
Blue9
399113.3
688617.0
17239.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4048102030607080589

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.0
14.414.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End7.6
red by 2.5
17.04.1
15.711.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End7.5
Second
6186
#31
7.60.0
10.310.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End2.6
blue by 5.7
3991
#36
13.34.1
14.110.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Third
5809
#16
7.30.0
12.812.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End3.3
blue by 2.4
1723
#42
9.74.1
15.911.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed