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Red27
193919.9
605515.5
72559.0
Blue17
198213.3
74307.7
748310.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4435102030405060702717

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#21
19.91.6
14.412.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End4.5
red by 6.6
1982
#19
13.31.8
13.411.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
Second
6055
#12
15.51.6
14.512.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 5.4
7483
#39
10.21.9
10.28.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.6
End3.0
Third
7255
#44
9.01.6
12.510.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 1.3
7430
#29
7.70.6
7.78.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed