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Red9
79085.4
460316.9
75689.9
Blue17
71236.4
685511.8
45764.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36420102030506070917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#22
16.92.8
13.811.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
red by 5.1
6855
#54
11.82.9
12.910.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Second
7568
#15
9.92.6
9.97.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
red by 3.5
7123
#56
6.42.9
13.510.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.8
Third
7908
#33
5.41.9
5.47.3
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End3.1
red by 0.8
4576
#38
4.62.9
13.610.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed