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Red47
776716.8
45764.6
303922.3
Blue38
710610.5
500619.5
74307.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532102040504738

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.5
14.515.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End6.2
red by 2.8
19.50.9
15.616.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End7.6
Second
16.80.5
7.98.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.5
red by 6.3
7106
#50
10.50.9
8.49.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
4576
#38
4.60.5
10.711.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End0.8
blue by 3.1
7430
#29
7.70.9
6.27.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned