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Red35
605515.5
68408.0
664016.2
Blue27
216411.3
77668.9
78965.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430102040503527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.0
12.912.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End4.9
red by 4.9
2164
#27
11.31.3
13.312.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Second
6055
#12
15.50.0
11.111.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 6.6
7766
#14
8.91.3
8.67.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End3.3
Third
6840
#20
8.00.0
8.28.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.2
End2.9
red by 2.6
7896
#51
5.41.3
6.45.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed