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Red43
78784.0
433612.0
32321.3
Blue41
707512.2
545410.8
193919.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383510203050604341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#2
21.30.5
16.216.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End6.1
red by 1.4
1939
#21
19.90.9
10.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
4336
#11
12.00.5
11.912.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End3.2
blue by 0.1
7075
#47
12.20.9
11.512.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
7878
#46
4.00.5
7.68.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 6.7
5454
#25
10.80.9
11.011.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed