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Red47
361618.4
433612.0
198213.3
Blue22
543715.3
78965.4
74597.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4229102050604722

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.8
15.316.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End6.1
red by 3.1
5437
#18
15.30.6
13.613.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Second
1982
#19
13.30.8
12.513.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
red by 6.2
7459
#45
7.10.6
8.68.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Third
4336
#11
12.00.8
12.413.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End3.2
red by 6.6
7896
#51
5.40.6
5.24.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed