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Red33
688617.0
75689.9
664016.2
Blue29
780411.2
57298.4
710610.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36241020304050603329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.1
11.611.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.3
End7.5
red by 5.8
7804
#24
11.20.7
7.48.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End3.2
Second
16.20.1
12.912.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End4.9
red by 5.7
7106
#50
10.50.7
7.78.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
7568
#15
9.90.1
9.79.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
red by 1.5
5729
#40
8.40.7
8.08.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed