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Red44
543715.3
39469.3
408717.4
Blue15
78466.1
61867.6
72559.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222010305060704415

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.5
14.515.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End6.7
red by 8.4
7255
#44
9.00.6
7.77.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Second
5437
#18
15.30.5
13.213.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End2.0
red by 7.7
6186
#31
7.60.6
6.45.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End2.6
Third
3946
#28
9.30.5
11.712.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End3.4
red by 3.1
7846
#37
6.10.6
6.45.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed