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Red42
393727.2
77668.9
78784.0
Blue45
605515.5
74307.7
596513.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060804245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.8
24.525.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.8
red by 11.7
6055
#12
15.50.3
14.114.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Second
7766
#14
8.90.8
6.77.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End3.3
blue by 5.0
5965
#17
13.90.3
10.911.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Third
7878
#46
4.00.8
3.94.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 3.6
7430
#29
7.70.3
7.37.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed