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Red3
78965.4
299219.3
76559.3
Blue15
74597.1
78466.1
77026.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36321020405060315

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#13
19.33.5
15.311.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End6.4
red by 12.2
7459
#45
7.14.0
12.48.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Second
7655
#48
9.33.5
8.85.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.5
red by 2.9
7702
#55
6.42.0
6.48.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End0.8
Third
7896
#51
5.41.2
5.46.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End2.5
blue by 0.7
7846
#37
6.12.3
6.18.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed