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Red0
556810.9
78428.9
710610.5
Blue21
57298.4
30114.0
39469.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363601020253040021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5568
#34
10.93.8
12.38.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End0.4
red by 1.6
3946
#28
9.31.5
10.28.7
Auto4.8
Teleop1.1
End3.4
Second
7106
#50
10.53.8
12.28.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
red by 2.2
5729
#40
8.41.5
11.610.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Third
7842
#41
8.93.8
9.65.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.1
End3.0
red by 4.9
3011
#49
4.01.5
12.511.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed