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Red18
605012.4
65759.5
Blue50
477418.1
461328.4
473910.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336002040801850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6050
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 16.0
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
Second
6434B
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 8.4
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End6.7
Third
6575
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 0.6
4739
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking odds83%HAB Docking odds