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Red15
756114.0
587614.8
48019.5
Blue41
558417.8
453715.5
48023.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403902060801541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
Unranked
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.9
blue by 3.0
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Second
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 1.5
4537
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Third
4801
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
red by 6.0
4802
Unranked
3.60.0
3.63.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking odds11%HAB Docking odds