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Red26
598811.1
657918.2
313227.0
Blue49
650822.3
643419.3
47298.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59532040801002649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End4.3
red by 4.7
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.4
End8.1
Second
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 1.1
6434
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
5988
Unranked
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End4.8
red by 2.5
4729
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking odds62%HAB Docking odds