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Red58
657918.2
48023.6
756114.0
Blue25
598527.3
603510.2
598811.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385102060801005825

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 9.1
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End6.6
Second
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 2.9
5988
Unranked
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End4.8
Third
4802
Unranked
3.60.0
3.63.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 6.7
6035
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking odds65%HAB Docking odds