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Red31
47298.6
712815.8
778014.1
Blue61
461328.4
605012.4
587614.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4159020801003161

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 12.6
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
Second
7780
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End4.4
blue by 0.7
5876
Unranked
14.80.0
14.814.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.9
Third
4729
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 3.8
6050
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking odds89%HAB Docking odds