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Red55
643419.3
788411.7
651024.8
Blue65
473910.1
756114.0
647614.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5941020801005565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End8.8
red by 10.1
6476
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
6434
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 5.2
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
7884
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End3.3
red by 1.6
4739
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking odds8%HAB Docking odds