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Red54
65759.5
48023.6
461328.4
Blue36
657918.2
47298.6
702315.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444502060801005436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.6
End8.3
red by 10.2
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
6575
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 6.1
7023
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End4.0
Third
4802
Unranked
3.60.0
3.63.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4729
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking odds13%HAB Docking odds