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Red42
473910.1
778014.1
651024.8
Blue45
65759.5
712815.8
657918.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52460204060801004245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End8.8
red by 6.6
6579
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
7780
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.5
End4.4
blue by 1.7
7128
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Third
4739
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End1.6
red by 0.6
6575
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking odds12%HAB Docking odds