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Red32
313227.0
453715.5
Blue50
702315.6
558417.8
598527.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556402040801001203250

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.3
End4.3
blue by 0.3
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End6.6
Second
4537
Unranked
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 2.3
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Third
6434B
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 5.9
7023
Unranked
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking odds55%HAB Docking odds