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Red56
752714.9
461324.9
481713.7
Blue63
758314.9
713025.3
698622.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652203040607080905663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.0
18.019.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End7.8
blue by 0.4
25.31.5
19.220.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Second
7527
#14
14.91.0
12.613.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 7.5
22.41.5
17.218.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
Third
4817
#24
13.71.0
13.214.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 1.2
7583
#22
14.91.5
13.114.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned