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Red40
425319.5
544913.8
48019.5
Blue46
702315.6
712418.1
643419.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374301020305060704046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#20
19.50.4
17.116.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 0.3
19.30.5
15.516.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Second
5449
#23
13.80.4
9.79.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End3.2
blue by 4.3
7124
#12
18.10.5
13.514.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Third
4801
#32
9.50.4
7.97.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
blue by 6.1
7023
#26
15.60.5
12.212.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed