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Red61
652012.9
743321.5
752714.9
Blue36
764110.7
727810.5
763610.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48351020304060706136

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.6
17.518.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End8.7
red by 10.7
7636
#25
10.80.3
9.710.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Second
7527
#14
14.90.6
13.614.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 4.2
7641
#36
10.70.3
10.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End1.9
Third
6520
#17
12.90.6
14.114.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
7278
#37
10.50.3
13.113.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed