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Red66
545121.5
551614.5
643419.3
Blue53
698622.4
61919.8
313218.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514720304060706653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.2
20.121.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
blue by 0.9
22.40.9
21.622.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End6.9
Second
19.31.3
17.118.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 1.3
3132
#18
18.00.9
12.913.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Third
5516
#30
14.51.2
11.112.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.2
red by 4.8
6191
#35
9.80.9
10.211.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsEarned