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Red46
743321.5
425319.5
716314.2
Blue64
76448.6
752621.2
752318.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5240203060704664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
18.117.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End8.7
red by 0.4
7526
#15
21.22.5
17.620.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Second
4253
#20
19.50.3
17.216.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 1.4
7523
#11
18.22.5
14.817.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.5
End3.5
Third
7163
#31
14.20.4
14.213.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.6
red by 5.6
7644
#38
8.62.5
5.88.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed