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Red28
48023.8
477421.0
608318.1
Blue56
551614.5
699612.0
544913.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47441020304060702856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.5
20.919.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End7.0
red by 6.5
5516
#30
14.50.8
14.114.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Second
6083
#33
18.11.5
18.917.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 4.3
5449
#23
13.80.9
14.315.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Third
4802
#40
3.81.5
4.93.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End-0.4
blue by 8.3
6996
#19
12.00.8
12.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed