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Red81
48019.5
702315.6
461324.9
Blue51
752714.9
598525.7
48023.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45463040506070808151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.92.3
22.124.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End7.8
blue by 0.8
25.70.4
24.925.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
7023
#26
15.62.1
13.415.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End4.0
red by 0.7
7527
#14
14.90.4
15.115.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
4801
#32
9.52.1
7.49.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End3.6
red by 5.7
4802
#40
3.80.4
3.43.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsMissed