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Red50
481713.7
752318.2
388112.1
Blue38
544913.8
61919.8
545121.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434920304060705038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7523
#11
18.20.8
17.718.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.5
End3.5
blue by 3.3
21.50.9
21.420.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End6.9
Second
4817
#24
13.70.8
13.614.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Level
5449
#23
13.81.1
15.214.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Third
3881
#28
12.10.8
9.210.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 2.3
6191
#35
9.81.0
9.88.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsMissed